Where the market is wrong on Club Guarani v Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani meet Sportivo Ameliano in the Division Profesional - Clausura clausura - 7 at Estadio Rogelio Livieres, Asuncion.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 55%. Attacking output favors Sportivo Ameliano on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Club Guarani arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Olimpia, D 1-1 v Sportivo Ameliano, D 0-0 @ 2 de Mayo, L 2-3 v Rubio NU.
Sportivo Ameliano are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Sportivo Trinidense, D 1-1 @ Club Guarani, W 3-1 v Deportivo Recoleta, L 1-2 @ Olimpia.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 6 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Club Guarani 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano.
The market prices CLU at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
