Lions v Peninsula Power: the model read
Lions meet Peninsula Power in the Queensland NPL quarter-finals at Lions Stadium, Brisbane.
Lions rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1788 to 1615. Recent form leans Lions, 88% against 65%. Attacking output favors Lions on expected goals, 2.6 to 2.2 per match.
Lions arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 16 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Peninsula Power, W 4-0 v North Sunshine Eagles, W 2-0 @ Moreton City Excelsior, W 2-0 v Melbourne City.
Peninsula Power are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Lions, D 2-2 v Brisbane City, D 2-2 @ Gold Coast Knights, L 0-1 @ Lions.
Lions hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lions 4-1 Peninsula Power.
The market prices LIO at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
