Where the market is wrong on Imperia v Asti
Imperia meet Asti in the Serie D - Girone A group a - 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 50%. Attacking output favors Asti on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.
Imperia arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Asti, D 1-1 @ Derthona, W 1-0 v Millesimo, L 1-2 @ Pro Patria.
Asti are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Imperia, W 2-0 v Gozzano, L 0-2 @ Sestri Levante, W 1-0 @ Cairese.
The market prices IMP at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on Asti: a 13.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output