Where the market is wrong on Juventus W v St. Pölten W
Juventus W meet St. Pölten W in the UEFA Champions League Women 3rd qualifying round at Stadio Vittorio Pozzo, Biella.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1684, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans St. Pölten W, 75% against 65%. Attacking output favors St. Pölten W on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.6 per match.
Juventus W arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 10 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v St. Pölten W, W 1-0 v Como W, W 3-0 @ St. Pölten W, W 2-0 @ Como W.
St. Pölten W are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Juventus W, W 2-0 v Salzburg W, L 0-3 v Juventus W, W 2-0 @ LASK W.
Juventus W hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Juventus W 1-1 St. Pölten W.
The market prices JUV at 84% implied. Our number sits apart on St. Pölten W: a 35.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
