Where the market is wrong on Independiente Petrolero v Guabirá
Independiente Petrolero meet Guabirá in the Primera División apertura - 17.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 53%. Attacking output favors Guabirá on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 75%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans Independiente Petrolero at 50%; double chance reads Independiente Petrolero or draw 64%, Guabirá or draw 64%.
Independiente Petrolero arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Guabirá, L 0-3 @ Nacional Potosí, W 5-2 v Blooming, W 1-0 v Gualberto Villarroel SJ.
Guabirá are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Independiente Petrolero, D 1-1 v Blooming, W 2-1 v Universitario de Vinto, W 3-1 v The Strongest.
Independiente Petrolero hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Independiente Petrolero 3-1 Guabirá.
The market prices IND at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Guabirá: a 9.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
