Where the market is wrong on Peralada v Atlètic Lleida
Peralada meet Atlètic Lleida in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 group 5 - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Peralada, 50% against 28%. Attacking output favors Peralada on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Peralada arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Atlètic Lleida, D 1-1 @ Vilanova, L 0-1 v Tona, D 1-1 @ San Cristóbal.
Atlètic Lleida are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Peralada, W 1-0 v Mollerussa, L 0-2 @ L'Hospitalet, D 2-2 v Cornellà.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Peralada 3-0 Atlètic Lleida.
The market prices PER at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Peralada: a 7.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 73 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
