Where the market is wrong on General Caballero v Rubio NU
General Caballero meet Rubio NU in the Copa Paraguay round of 32 at Estadio Leandro Ovelar, undefined.
General Caballero rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1400. Recent form leans General Caballero, 68% against 33%. Attacking output favors General Caballero on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans General Caballero at 70%; double chance reads General Caballero or draw 79%, Rubio NU or draw 50%.
General Caballero arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Rubio NU, D 0-0 @ Independiente F.b.c., W 4-1 v Tacuary, W 3-1 @ Atlético Tembetary.
Rubio NU are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ General Caballero, D 0-0 v Sportivo Trinidense, W 3-2 @ Club Guarani, L 1-3 v Deportivo Recoleta.
The market prices GEN at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on General Caballero: a 16.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 85 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output