Where the market is wrong on Enppi v Wadi Degla
Enppi meet Wadi Degla in the Premier League regular season - 2 at Petrosport Stadium, Cairo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Wadi Degla, 65% against 48%. Attacking output favors Wadi Degla on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Wadi Degla at 63%; double chance reads Enppi or draw 57%, Wadi Degla or draw 75%.
Enppi arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Wadi Degla, L 2-3 @ Al Ahly, L 0-3 v AL Masry, W 1-0 @ Wadi Degla.
Wadi Degla are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Enppi, D 0-0 v Masr, W 2-0 @ Masr, L 0-1 v Enppi.
Enppi hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Enppi 1-3 Wadi Degla.
The market prices ENP at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on Wadi Degla: a 9.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 75 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
