Where the market is wrong on CSM Satu Mare v Bihor Oradea
CSM Satu Mare meet Bihor Oradea in the Liga II regular season - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 48%. Attacking output favors Bihor Oradea on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Bihor Oradea at 52%; double chance reads CSM Satu Mare or draw 63%, Bihor Oradea or draw 66%.
CSM Satu Mare arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 1 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Bihor Oradea, L 0-2 @ Cetatea Suceava, L 0-5 @ Minaur Baia Mare, L 0-2 v CSM Reşiţa.
Bihor Oradea are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ CSM Satu Mare, W 1-0 v Farul Constanta, D 1-1 v ASA Targu Mures, W 3-0 @ Crişul Sântandrei.
Bihor Oradea hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: CSM Satu Mare 0-0 Bihor Oradea.
The market prices CSM at 20% implied. Our number sits apart on CSM Satu Mare: a 13.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
