Where the market is wrong on Inter U23 v Foggia
Inter U23 meet Foggia in the Serie C - Girone C girone c - 6 at Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Inter U23, 43% against 20%. Attacking output favors Inter U23 on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.6 per match.
Inter U23 arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Foggia, W 2-0 @ Crotone, L 2-3 v Casertana, L 1-4 @ AZ Picerno.
Foggia are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Inter U23, D 0-0 v Savoia, L 0-1 @ SS Monopoli, L 0-2 v Audace Cerignola.
Inter U23 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Inter U23 3-2 Foggia.
The market prices INT at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
