Where the market is wrong on Pineto v Grosseto
Pineto meet Grosseto in the Serie C - Girone B girone b - 7 at Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani, Pineto.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1516, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Grosseto, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Grosseto on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.8 per match.
Pineto arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Grosseto, D 2-2 @ Campobasso FC, D 1-1 v Forli, W 2-1 v Sambenedettese.
Grosseto are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Pineto, W 2-0 v Perugia, D 2-2 v Campobasso FC, D 0-0 @ Pianese.
Grosseto hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pineto 0-4 Grosseto.
The market prices PIN at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on Grosseto: a 13.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
