Where the market is wrong on Costa Brava v Juventud Unida Univ.
Costa Brava meet Juventud Unida Univ. in the Torneo Federal A losers stage - 6 at Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu, General Pico.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 40%. Attacking output favors Costa Brava on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.7 per match.
Costa Brava arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Juventud Unida Univ., W 1-0 @ Circulo Deportivo, W 1-0 v Guillermo Brown, D 0-0 @ Fundacion Amigos.
Juventud Unida Univ. are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Costa Brava, L 0-1 @ Deportivo Rincon, D 0-0 v Circulo Deportivo, L 1-2 @ Guillermo Brown.
Juventud Unida Univ. hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Costa Brava 1-2 Juventud Unida Univ..
The market prices COS at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 8.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 73 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
