Where the market is wrong on Al-Raed v Hajer
Al-Raed meet Hajer in the Division 1 regular season - 2 at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah.
Hajer rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1558. Recent form leans Hajer, 75% against 57%. Attacking output favors Al-Raed on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans Hajer at 54%; double chance reads Al-Raed or draw 62%, Hajer or draw 67%.
Al-Raed arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Hajer, W 1-0 @ Al Orubah, L 0-2 v Al-Hilal Saudi FC, W 5-1 v Abha.
Hajer are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Al-Raed, L 0-3 v Jeddah Club, L 1-2 v Al-Ain, W 3-1 @ Al-Ain.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al-Raed 2-3 Hajer.
The market prices AL- at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on Hajer: a 20.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
