Kilmarnock v Ayr Utd: the model read
Kilmarnock meet Ayr Utd in the League Cup round of 16 at Rugby Park, Kilmarnock.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1553, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 55%. Attacking output favors Kilmarnock on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.
Kilmarnock arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Dundee Utd, W 3-2 v Ayr Utd, L 1-5 v Celtic, L 3-4 @ ST Johnstone.
Ayr Utd are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Morton, L 0-2 @ Raith Rovers, L 2-3 @ Kilmarnock, D 1-1 @ Dunfermline.
Kilmarnock hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kilmarnock 3-2 Ayr Utd.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
