AEK Larnaca v Pafos: the model read
AEK Larnaca meet Pafos in the 1. Division regular season - 3 at AEK Arena, Larnaca.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 55%. Attacking output favors Pafos on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
AEK Larnaca arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Apoel Nicosia, L 0-1 v Omonia Aradippou, W 3-2 @ Beitar Jerusalem, L 0-1 v Beitar Jerusalem.
Pafos are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Karmiotissa, W 4-2 v Dinamo Tirana, D 1-1 @ Dinamo Tirana, D 3-3 v Red Bull Salzburg.
Pafos hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AEK Larnaca 2-2 Pafos.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
