Where the market is wrong on Nong Bua Pitchaya v Satun
Nong Bua Pitchaya meet Satun in the Thai League 2 regular season - 4 at Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1598, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Satun, 61% against 50%. Attacking output favors Satun on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.
Nong Bua Pitchaya arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Uttaradit, L 1-2 @ Muangthong United, W 2-0 v Kasetsart FC, L 1-2 @ Pattani.
Satun are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Muangthong United, W 3-1 @ Songkhla, L 2-4 v Kanchanaburi, L 0-2 v Lamphun Warrior.
The market prices NON at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Satun: a 17.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
