Where the market is wrong on Pisa v Catanzaro
Pisa meet Catanzaro in the Serie B regular season - 2 at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa.
Catanzaro rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans Catanzaro, 53% against 25%. Attacking output favors Catanzaro on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 72%. Draw no bet leans Catanzaro at 66%; double chance reads Pisa or draw 52%, Catanzaro or draw 75%.
Pisa arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Catanzaro, L 0-1 v Padova, D 1-1 v Empoli, W 4-1 @ Bologna.
Catanzaro are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Pisa, L 2-3 @ Vicenza Virtus, D 2-2 v Sudtirol, W 3-0 v Giugliano.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 3 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pisa 2-1 Catanzaro.
The market prices PIS at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on Catanzaro: a 26.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
