Where the market is wrong on Santa Ana v Guadalupe FC
Santa Ana meet Guadalupe FC in the Liga de Ascenso regular season - 7 at Estadio de Piedades, Santa Ana.
Santa Ana rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1578 to 1400. Recent form leans Santa Ana, 59% against 30%. Attacking output favors Santa Ana on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.8 per match.
Santa Ana arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Guadalupe FC, W 2-1 @ Futbol Consultants Moravia, L 0-2 @ Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC, W 3-1 v CS Uruguay.
Guadalupe FC are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Santa Ana, L 0-1 v CS Uruguay, D 3-3 @ Cariari Pococi, L 0-1 v AD Carmelita.
The market prices SAN at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Santa Ana: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 63 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
