PSV Eindhoven v AZ Alkmaar: the model read
PSV Eindhoven meet AZ Alkmaar in the Super Cup final at Philips Stadion, Eindhoven.
The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1637, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 71%. Attacking output favors PSV Eindhoven on expected goals, 3.0 to 2.4 per match.
PSV Eindhoven arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 15 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 @ Utrecht, W 5-1 v Groningen, W 2-1 @ Excelsior, D 2-2 v Fortuna Sittard.
AZ Alkmaar are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 17 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v GO Ahead Eagles, W 2-0 @ Fortuna Sittard, W 4-1 @ Utrecht, W 2-0 v ADO Den Haag.
PSV Eindhoven hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: PSV Eindhoven 0-4 AZ Alkmaar.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
