Where the market is wrong on Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic v Rangers U21
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic meet Rangers U21 in the Challenge Cup group stage - 2 at New Dundas Park, Bonnyrigg.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic on expected goals, 2.5 to 2.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 86%, over 2.5 goals around 92%. Draw no bet leans Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic at 60%; double chance reads Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic or draw 70%, Rangers U21 or draw 56%.
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Rangers U21, W 2-0 @ Berwick Rangers, W 1-0 v Annan Athletic, W 4-1 v East Stirlingshire.
Rangers U21 are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic, W 4-0 @ Gala Fairydean Rovers, L 0-3 @ Hamilton Academical, L 0-1 @ Dumbarton.
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-1 Rangers U21.
The market prices BON at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic: a 16.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output