Where the market is wrong on RB Leipzig W v Mainz 05 W
RB Leipzig W meet Mainz 05 W in the Frauen Bundesliga regular season - 6 at RB-Training Center Cottaweg, Leipzig.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 55%. Attacking output favors Mainz 05 W on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.6 per match.
RB Leipzig W arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v Mainz 05 W, W 2-0 @ Blau-Gelb Marburg W, L 2-3 @ Union Berlin W, W 2-1 v Nürnberg W.
Mainz 05 W are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 8 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ RB Leipzig W, W 6-1 @ Ingolstadt W, L 2-3 v Eintracht Frankfurt W, L 0-3 @ SC Freiburg W.
RB Leipzig W hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: RB Leipzig W 5-0 Mainz 05 W.
The market prices RB at 66% implied. Our number sits apart on Mainz 05 W: a 27.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
