Where the market is wrong on Mainz 05 W v Eintracht Frankfurt W
Mainz 05 W meet Eintracht Frankfurt W in the Frauen Bundesliga regular season - 5 at Mewa Arena, Mainz.
The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 70%. Attacking output favors Mainz 05 W on expected goals, 2.8 to 2.3 per match.
Mainz 05 W arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ SC Freiburg W, L 0-4 v FC Koln W, L 0-2 @ Bayern Munich W, L 1-2 v Werder Bremen W.
Eintracht Frankfurt W are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v 1899 Hoffenheim W, W 1-0 @ Union Berlin W, L 1-5 @ Paris Saint Germain W, D 1-1 v Nürnberg W.
The market prices MAI at 6% implied. Our number sits apart on Mainz 05 W: a 33.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
