Where the market is wrong on Jadran LP v Kustosija
Jadran LP meet Kustosija in the First NL regular season - 7 at NK Jadran, Luka Ploce.
Jadran LP rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1500. Recent form leans Jadran LP, 75% against 50%. Attacking output favors Jadran LP on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Jadran LP arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Kustosija, W 3-2 @ Vukovar, W 1-0 v Orijent 1919, L 0-1 @ Bsk Bijelo Brdo.
Kustosija are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Jadran LP, W 1-0 v Croatia Zmijavci, L 1-2 v Bsk Bijelo Brdo, D 0-0 @ HNK Cibalia.
Jadran LP hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Jadran LP 1-0 Kustosija.
The market prices JAD at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on Kustosija: a 8.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
