Where the market is wrong on Sheffield Wednesday v Sunderland U21
Sheffield Wednesday meet Sunderland U21 in the EFL Trophy group north - 1 at Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sunderland U21, 65% against 55%. Attacking output favors Sunderland U21 on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.1 per match.
Sheffield Wednesday arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Salford City, D 0-0 v Stockport County, D 0-0 v Wigan, W 2-1 @ Peterborough.
Sunderland U21 are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 16 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Accrington ST, W 3-1 v Norwich City U21, W 4-2 v Ipswich Town U21, L 1-5 @ Brentford U21.
The market prices SHE at 67% implied. Our number sits apart on Sunderland U21: a 26.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
