Where the market is wrong on Hednesford Town v Radcliffe
Hednesford Town meet Radcliffe in the National League - North national league north - 10 at Keys Park, Hednesford.
Hednesford Town rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1400. Recent form leans Hednesford Town, 57% against 25%. Attacking output favors Hednesford Town on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.9 per match.
Hednesford Town arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Radcliffe, L 0-1 v Coventry United, L 1-2 @ Hebburn Town, W 3-2 @ King's Lynn Town.
Radcliffe are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Hednesford Town, L 2-3 @ Marine, L 0-3 v Oxford City, W 5-1 v Hebburn Town.
Hednesford Town hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hednesford Town 4-1 Radcliffe.
The market prices HED at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
