Where the market is wrong on Chester v Worksop Town
Chester meet Worksop Town in the National League - North national league north - 10 at Deva Stadium, Chester.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 63%. Attacking output favors Worksop Town on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.2 per match.
Chester arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Worksop Town, W 2-1 @ Lower Breck, L 1-3 @ Buxton, L 0-1 v Merthyr Town.
Worksop Town are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Chester, W 5-2 v AFC Telford United, D 2-2 @ AFC Telford United, W 2-0 v Southport.
Worksop Town hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chester 4-1 Worksop Town.
The market prices CHE at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on Worksop Town: a 14.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
