Where the market is wrong on Chorley v Darlington 1883
Chorley meet Darlington 1883 in the National League - North national league north - 8 at Victory Park, Chorley.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Chorley, 37% against 28%. Attacking output favors Darlington 1883 on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.
Chorley arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v Darlington 1883, L 0-4 @ Oxford City, D 2-2 v Brackley Town, D 1-1 @ Merthyr Town.
Darlington 1883 are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 @ Chorley, L 0-2 v King's Lynn Town, W 1-0 @ Radcliffe, L 1-2 v Macclesfield.
The market prices CHO at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
