Where the market is wrong on Illertissen v Nürnberg II
Illertissen meet Nürnberg II in the Regionalliga - Bayern bayern - 8.
The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 60%. Attacking output favors Illertissen on expected goals, 2.3 to 2.0 per match.
Illertissen arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Nürnberg II, L 0-3 @ Eltersdorf, L 0-2 v Bayern München II, D 2-2 @ Bayreuth.
Nürnberg II are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Illertissen, W 5-2 v FC Schweinfurt 05, W 3-1 v Wacker Burghausen, D 1-1 @ Eltersdorf.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Illertissen 2-1 Nürnberg II.
The market prices ILL at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Illertissen: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 63 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
