Where the market is wrong on Manisa F.K. v İstanbulspor
Manisa F.K. meet İstanbulspor in the 1. Lig regular season - 8 at Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu, Manisa.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Manisa F.K., 48% against 35%. Attacking output favors Manisa F.K. on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Manisa F.K. arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v İstanbulspor, D 1-1 @ Fatih Karagümrük, L 1-2 v Bursaspor, L 2-4 @ Iğdır FK.
İstanbulspor are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Manisa F.K., L 0-4 @ Kayserispor, L 1-2 v Iğdır FK, L 0-4 @ Bursaspor.
İstanbulspor hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Manisa F.K. 0-1 İstanbulspor.
The market prices MAN at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on İstanbulspor: a 6.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
