Where the market is wrong on Altrincham v AFC Hornchurch
Altrincham meet AFC Hornchurch in the National League regular season - 10 at Moss Lane, Altrincham.
The baseline ratings are close, 1577 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 58% against 60%. Attacking output favors AFC Hornchurch on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Altrincham arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v AFC Hornchurch, W 2-1 @ AFC Fylde, W 2-1 v Hartlepool, L 1-5 @ Woking.
AFC Hornchurch are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Altrincham, W 1-0 v Scunthorpe, L 0-1 @ Worthing, L 0-3 @ FC Halifax Town.
Altrincham hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Altrincham 3-0 AFC Hornchurch.
The market prices ALT at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on AFC Hornchurch: a 7.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 69 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
