Where the market is wrong on Aldershot Town v Tamworth
Aldershot Town meet Tamworth in the National League regular season - 10 at EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground, Aldershot.
Aldershot Town rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1477. Recent form leans Aldershot Town, 68% against 45%. Attacking output favors Tamworth on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.5 per match.
Aldershot Town arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Tamworth, L 0-1 @ Barrow, D 1-1 v Yeovil Town, W 2-1 @ Solihull Moors.
Tamworth are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Aldershot Town, W 2-1 v Wealdstone, L 1-3 @ Southend, L 1-3 @ Harrogate Town.
Tamworth hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Aldershot Town 5-1 Tamworth.
The market prices ALD at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on Aldershot Town: a 10.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
