Where the market is wrong on Forest Green v Boston United
Forest Green meet Boston United in the National League regular season - 9 at The New Lawn, Nailsworth.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 50%. Attacking output favors Forest Green on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.3 per match.
Forest Green arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Boston United, D 1-1 @ Carlisle, W 4-0 v Gateshead, W 1-0 @ AFC Hornchurch.
Boston United are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Forest Green, D 1-1 v Woking, L 1-3 v Wealdstone, L 0-1 v West Bromwich Albion U21.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Forest Green 1-3 Boston United.
The market prices FOR at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Boston United: a 14.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
