Where the market is wrong on Kasımpaşa v Amed
Kasımpaşa meet Amed in the Süper Lig regular season - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Amed, 73% against 60%. Attacking output favors Amed on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.3 per match.
Kasımpaşa arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Başakşehir, W 1-0 @ Çorum FK, D 1-1 v Trabzonspor, W 3-0 v Samsunspor.
Amed are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Trabzonspor, L 0-2 @ Kocaelispor, W 3-0 v Erzurumspor FK, W 2-0 v Dinamo Batumi.
The market prices KAS at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on Amed: a 15.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
