Where the market is wrong on Beşiktaş v Çorum FK
Beşiktaş meet Çorum FK in the Süper Lig regular season - 3 at Tüpraş Stadyumu, Istanbul.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Çorum FK, 70% against 60%. Attacking output favors Çorum FK on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Beşiktaş arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 6-2 v Çorum FK, L 0-1 @ Kauno Žalgiris, L 0-1 @ Alanyaspor, W 3-0 v Kauno Žalgiris.
Çorum FK are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-6 @ Beşiktaş, L 0-1 v Kasımpaşa, D 2-2 @ Galatasaray, W 2-0 @ Esenler Erokspor.
The market prices BEŞ at 67% implied. Our number sits apart on Çorum FK: a 21.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
