Where the market is wrong on CA La Paz v Mineros de Zacatecas
CA La Paz meet Mineros de Zacatecas in the Liga de Expansión MX apertura - 7 at Estadio Guaycura, La Paz.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 53%. Attacking output favors Mineros de Zacatecas on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.7 per match.
CA La Paz arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Mineros de Zacatecas, W 2-1 @ Cancún, D 1-1 v Cruz Azul Hidalgo, W 2-0 v Piratas.
Mineros de Zacatecas are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ CA La Paz, W 2-0 v CDS Tampico Madero, L 2-4 @ Tapatío, W 5-1 v Venados FC.
Mineros de Zacatecas hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: CA La Paz 3-0 Mineros de Zacatecas.
The market prices CA at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
