Caerau (Ely) v Treowen Stars: the model read
Caerau (Ely) meet Treowen Stars in the FAW Championship south - 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1553, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 56% against 55%. Attacking output favors Caerau (Ely) on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 83%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans Caerau (Ely) at 57%; double chance reads Caerau (Ely) or draw 68%, Treowen Stars or draw 59%.
Caerau (Ely) arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Baglan Dragons, L 1-5 v Swansea University, W 4-2 @ Trethomas Bluebirds, D 1-1 v Ynyshir Albions.
Treowen Stars are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 15 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ Carmarthen Town, W 3-0 v Caerphilly Athletic, W 2-1 @ Aberystwyth Town, L 2-3 v Pontypridd Town.
Caerau (Ely) hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Caerau (Ely) 3-0 Treowen Stars.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
