Llanuwchllyn v Caersws: the model read
Llanuwchllyn meet Caersws in the FAW Championship north - 9.
The baseline ratings are close, 1492 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Caersws, 57% against 47%. Attacking output favors Caersws on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.
Llanuwchllyn arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 v Caersws, D 2-2 @ Mold Alexandra, W 4-0 v Holyhead Hotspur, W 2-0 v Gresford Athletic.
Caersws are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 13 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 @ Llanuwchllyn, L 0-2 v Brickfield Rangers, W 3-0 @ Ruthin Town, W 2-0 v Buckley Town.
Caersws hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Llanuwchllyn 2-5 Caersws.
The market prices LLA at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on Caersws: a 1.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
