Denbigh Town v Porthmadog: the model read
Denbigh Town meet Porthmadog in the FAW Championship north - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1468, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 45%. Attacking output favors Porthmadog on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 72%, over 2.5 goals around 73%. Draw no bet leans Porthmadog at 53%; double chance reads Denbigh Town or draw 62%, Porthmadog or draw 66%.
Denbigh Town arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Porthmadog, L 1-2 @ Ruthin Town, L 1-2 v Bangor City 1876 FC, W 4-2 @ Buckley Town.
Porthmadog are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Denbigh Town, D 1-1 @ Buckley Town, W 1-0 v Rhyl, W 3-1 @ Penrhyncoch.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
