FC St. Pauli v SpVgg Greuther Fürth: the model read
FC St. Pauli meet SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the 2. Bundesliga regular season - 1 at Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans SpVgg Greuther Fürth, 48% against 35%. Attacking output favors SpVgg Greuther Fürth on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
FC St. Pauli arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v 1. FC Kaiserslautern, L 0-2 @ Rot-Weiß Essen, D 2-2 @ Holstein Kiel, D 1-1 v SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 4-3 @ Energie Cottbus, L 1-2 v VfL Bochum, L 2-4 v 1. FC Nürnberg, D 1-1 @ FC St. Pauli.
FC St. Pauli hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC St. Pauli 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
