Where the market is wrong on SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen
SC Freiburg meet Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga regular season - 1 at Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg.
SC Freiburg rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1523. Recent form leans SC Freiburg, 68% against 50%. Attacking output favors SC Freiburg on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.8 per match.
SC Freiburg arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 19 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Werder Bremen, W 4-1 v Motherwell, W 5-1 @ Fortuna Düsseldorf, W 3-1 @ Motherwell.
Werder Bremen are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ SC Freiburg, W 3-0 @ Lüneburger SK Hansa, L 0-1 v Auxerre, D 2-2 v SC Paderborn 07.
SC Freiburg hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: SC Freiburg 4-1 Werder Bremen.
The market prices SC at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on Werder Bremen: a 6.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
