Where the market is wrong on Valenciennes v Fleury 91
Valenciennes meet Fleury 91 in the Ligue 3 regular season - 6 at Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes.
The baseline ratings are close, 1492 to 1492, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 47%. Attacking output favors Fleury 91 on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.
Valenciennes arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Rouen, D 0-0 v Concarneau, L 1-2 @ Gobelins, W 2-0 v Bourg-en-bresse 01.
Fleury 91 are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 v Villefranche, L 1-2 @ Quevilly, L 0-2 v Orleans, D 1-1 @ Cannes.
Fleury 91 hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fleury 91 2-0 Valenciennes.
The market prices VAL at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Fleury 91: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 62 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
