Where the market is wrong on Orleans v Versailles
Orleans meet Versailles in the Ligue 3 regular season - 6 at Stade de la Source, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 55%. Attacking output favors Versailles on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Orleans arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Le Puy Foot, L 0-1 v La Roche VF, W 2-0 @ Fleury 91, L 1-2 v Rouen.
Versailles are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Cannes, L 0-3 @ Amiens, W 3-2 @ Bastia, W 1-0 v Le Puy Foot.
Orleans hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Versailles 0-0 Orleans.
The market prices ORL at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
