Where the market is wrong on Orleans v La Roche VF
Orleans meet La Roche VF in the Ligue 3 regular season - 4 at Stade de la Source, undefined.
La Roche VF rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1541. Recent form leans La Roche VF, 78% against 55%. Attacking output favors La Roche VF on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.3 per match.
Orleans arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v La Roche VF, W 2-0 @ Fleury 91, L 1-2 v Rouen, W 2-0 @ Concarneau.
La Roche VF are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Orleans, D 1-1 v Cannes, W 1-0 @ Amiens, W 3-2 v Versailles.
La Roche VF hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Orleans 0-1 La Roche VF.
The market prices ORL at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on La Roche VF: a 14.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
