Where the market is wrong on Juventud Torremolinos v Algeciras
Juventud Torremolinos meet Algeciras in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 group 2 - 5 at Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo, Torremolinos.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Algeciras, 45% against 35%. Attacking output favors Juventud Torremolinos on expected goals, 1.0 to 1.0 per match.
Juventud Torremolinos arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Algeciras, L 0-1 @ Hércules, L 3-4 v Zaragoza, L 0-2 @ Real Madrid II.
Algeciras are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Juventud Torremolinos, D 1-1 v Águilas, L 2-4 @ Gimnastic, L 1-2 @ Villarreal II.
The market prices JUV at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
