BelgiumUSA v Belgium: the model read
USA meet Belgium in the World Cup round of 16 at Lumen Field, Seattle.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1673, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Belgium, 75% against 60%. Attacking output favors Belgium on expected goals, 3.0 to 1.9 per match.
USA arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Belgium, W 2-0 v Bosnia & Herzegovina, L 2-3 @ Türkiye, W 2-0 v Australia.
Belgium are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Spain, W 4-1 @ USA, W 3-2 v Senegal, W 5-1 @ New Zealand.
Belgium hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: USA 1-4 Belgium.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
