Where the market is wrong on Real Madrid v Malaga
Real Madrid meet Malaga in the La Liga regular season - 3 at Bernabéu, Madrid.
Real Madrid rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1546. Recent form leans Real Madrid, 73% against 57%. Attacking output favors Real Madrid on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.8 per match.
Real Madrid arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 14 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Malaga, W 4-1 v Real Sociedad, W 2-1 @ Espanyol, W 3-0 @ FC Schalke 04.
Malaga are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Real Madrid, D 1-1 v Deportivo La Coruna, L 0-2 @ Atletico Madrid, D 2-2 v Fulham.
The market prices REA at 88% implied. Our number sits apart on Malaga: a 25.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
