Rayo Vallecano v Alaves: the model read
Rayo Vallecano meet Alaves in the La Liga regular season - 2 at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 57%. Attacking output favors Alaves on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Rayo Vallecano arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 @ Barcelona, D 1-1 v Alaves, L 1-2 @ Sevilla, L 0-3 @ Ipswich.
Alaves are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 9 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Villarreal, D 1-1 @ Rayo Vallecano, W 3-0 v Getafe, D 1-1 @ Racing Santander.
Rayo Vallecano hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Alaves.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
