Where the market is wrong on Admira Wacker v First Vienna
Admira Wacker meet First Vienna in the 2. Liga regular season - 4 at Motion Invest Arena, Maria Enzersdorf.
First Vienna rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1400. Recent form leans First Vienna, 68% against 32%. Attacking output favors First Vienna on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans First Vienna at 72%; double chance reads Admira Wacker or draw 48%, First Vienna or draw 80%.
Admira Wacker arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v First Vienna, W 2-0 @ Sturm Graz II, L 1-2 @ SKU Amstetten, L 0-1 v Rapid Wien II.
First Vienna are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Admira Wacker, D 2-2 v FC Liefering, L 1-4 @ Austria Salzburg, W 4-0 v Sturm Graz II.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Admira Wacker 0-1 First Vienna.
The market prices ADM at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on First Vienna: a 7.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 75 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
