Timor-Leste v Indonesia: the model read
Timor-Leste meet Indonesia in the ASEAN Championship group stage - 3 at Chonburi Daikin Stadium, Chonburi.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1516, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Indonesia, 50% against 23%. Attacking output favors Indonesia on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.7 per match.
Timor-Leste arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 3 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Cambodia, L 0-3 v Indonesia, L 0-2 @ Singapore, L 0-7 v Vietnam.
Indonesia are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Singapore, L 0-3 v Vietnam, W 3-0 @ Timor-Leste, W 5-1 v Cambodia.
Indonesia hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Timor-Leste 0-3 Indonesia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
