Where the market is wrong on Roasso Kumamoto v Oita Trinita
Roasso Kumamoto meet Oita Trinita in the J-League Cup round of 128 at Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Roasso Kumamoto, 50% against 33%. Attacking output favors Oita Trinita on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.
Roasso Kumamoto arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Oita Trinita, W 2-0 @ Kochi United, L 0-1 v Parceiro Nagano, D 2-2 @ Gainare Tottori.
Oita Trinita are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Roasso Kumamoto, L 0-1 @ Tokushima Vortis, L 0-2 @ Iwaki, W 4-1 v Iwaki.
Oita Trinita hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Roasso Kumamoto 2-0 Oita Trinita.
The market prices ROA at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on Roasso Kumamoto: a 6.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
